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Forecast Model Capabilities

This page contains ratings of the Development Status of NCOF operational forecast models and their configurations. The ratings are developed based upon assessments of model Scientific Pedigree, available Validation data, and ongoing Application. Follow this link to get more information on how the model status is classified.

Wave Modelling - Met Office Wave Model (WaveWatch III)

Modelling the Deep Ocean

Modelling the Coastal Seas

Modelling Ecosystems

Wave Modelling - Met Office Wave Model (2nd Generation - Archive systems only)

How the model status is classified

Our classification of model Development Status is provided based on assessing where we believe each model and configuration sits upon a development curve comprising three sub-categories:

• Pedigree;
• Validation;
• Application.

Each sub-category is awarded an Orange, Amber or Green status based upon criteria involving peer acceptance, usage and corroborating data. The Development Status is then awarded according to:

• Well Developed (Green): sub-categories comprise 2 Green + 1 Amber;
• Developmental (Amber): between Well Developed and Experimental;
• Experimental (Orange): sub-categories comprise 2 or more Orange.

Sub-category ratings are described as:

Pedigree:

• Leading (Green): wide acknowledgement in the scientific community as the leading model in its class;
  
• Established (Amber): well known and understood model with a proven track record;
  
• Scientific (Orange): cutting edge model development still to develop a track record.
  

Validation:

• Full (Green): validated for both generic application over the whole model domain on a daily basis and demonstrated benefit to specific sites or operating decisions;
  
• Operational (Amber): validated for generic application over the whole model domain on a daily basis;
  
• Scientific (Orange): validated in application to specific scientific problems.
  

Application:

• Community Wide (Green): used for a wide range of operational decisions by a number of different marine users;
  
• Demonstrated (Amber): demonstrated application for specific tasks in an individual or small number of marine sectors;
  
• Scientific (Orange): used for scientific research only.
  

Detailed evidence of model Pedigree and Validation are provided in model pages under the Operational Ocean Forecasting section of this site. Details of Application are described in our Products and Services section.

(Last Updated: 23-01-2009)